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So what are the principal energy systems used by humanity at present, and how sustainable are they? Until quite recently, human energy requirements were modest and our supplies came either from harnessing natural processes such as the growth of plants, which provided wood for heating and food to energize human or animal muscles, or from the power of water and wind, used to drive simple machinery. Fossil FuelsBut the nineteenth and twentieth centuries saw a massive increase in global energy use, based mainly on burning cheap and plentiful fossil fuels: first coal, then oil and natural gas. These fossil fuels now supply over 80% of the world’s current energy consumption (see Box 1.1).
Fossil fuels are extremely attractive as energy sources. They are highly concentrated, enabling large amounts of energy to be stored in relatively small volumes. They are relatively easy to distribute, especially oil and gas which are fluids. During the twentieth century, these unique advantages enabled the development of increasingly-sophisticated and effective technologies for transforming fossil fuel energy into useful heat, light and motion; these ranged from the oil lamp to the steam engine and the internal combustion engine. Today, at the beginning of the twenty-first century, fossil fuel-based systems reign supreme, supplying the great majority of the world’s energy. The fossil fuels we use today originated in the growth and decay of plants and marine organisms that existed on the earth millions of years ago. Coal was formed when dead trees and other vegetation became submerged under water and were subsequently compressed, in geological processes lasting millions of years, into concentrated solid layers below the earth’s surface. Oil and associated natural gas originally consisted of the remains of countless billions of marine organisms that slowly accreted into layers beneath the earth’s oceans and were gradually transformed, through geological forces acting over aeons of time, into the liquid and gaseous reserves we access today by drilling into the earth’s crust. The fossil fuels are composed mainly of carbon and hydrogen, which is why they are called hydrocarbons.
Figure 1.12 Parc Colliery in Cwm Park, Rhonda
Valley, Glamorgan, South Wales, (photo, 1960). Coal was the fuel that
powered the industrial revolution. Its combustion produces relatively
large amounts of carbon dioxide (CO
Figure 1.13 A North Sea oil drilling platform.
Oil is the world’s leading energy source. Its high energy density
and convenience of use are particularly advantageous in the transport
sector, where it is the dominant fuel. Oil combustion produces less CO
Figure 1.14 The offshore rig Semac 1, a natural
gas pipelaying barge in the North Sea. Natural gas combustion produces
significantly lower CO Since the fossil fuels were created in specific circumstances where the geological conditions were favourable, the largest deposits of oil, gas and coal tend to be concentrated in particular regions of the globe (see Figure 1.15) – although less appreciable deposits are remarkably widespread. The majority of the world’s oil reserves are located in the Middle East and North Africa, while the majority of our natural gas reserves are split roughly equally between the Middle East/North Africa and the former Soviet Union. (BP, 2002) Although coal deposits are rather more evenly spread throughout the world, three-quarters of world coal reserves are concentrated in just four countries: Australia, China, South Africa and the United States of America. (United Nations, 2000; BP, 2002) (Figure 1.15). Figure 1.15 Proven world fuel reserves, 2001:
(a) oil reserves;
(b) natural gas
reserves; (c)
coal reserves Although human society now consumes fossil fuels at a prodigious rate, the amounts of coal, oil and gas that remain are still very large. One simple way of assessing the size of reserves is called the reserves/production (R/P) ratio – the number of years the reserves would last if use continued at the current rate. Coal has the largest R/P ratio. Present estimates suggest the world has more than 200 years’ worth of coal left at current use rates. For oil, current R/P estimates suggest a lifetime of about 40 years at current rates. For gas, the R/P ratio is somewhat higher, at around 60 years. (BP, 2002) (Figure 1.16) Figure
1.16 Reserves/production (R/P) ratios (in years) for oil, natural
gas and coal, 2000, for various regions of the world and the world as
a whole Fossil fuel reserves/production ratios need to be interpreted with great caution, however. They do not take into account the discovery of new proven reserves, or technological developments that enable more fuel to be extracted from deposits or improve the economic viability of ‘difficult’ deposits. Despite these developments, it seems likely that, at least in the case of oil from conventional sources, world production will reach a peak in the first decade of this century. From then on, although vast quantities of conventional oil will still remain, the resource will be on a declining curve. (United Nations, 2000; Campbell and Laherrere, 1998). This seems likely to lead to increased instability and potential for conflict as the twenty-first century proceeds. The massive use by our society of coal, oil and gas has, literally, fuelled enormous increases in material prosperity – at least for the majority in the industrialized countries. But it has also had numerous adverse consequences. As already mentioned, these include air and water pollution, mining accidents, fires and explosions on oil or gas rigs, conflicts over access to fuel resources and, perhaps most profoundly, the global climate change that is likely to be the result of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations caused by fossil fuel combustion (see Box 1.2).
Nuclear EnergyNuclear energy is based on harnessing the very large quantities of energy that are released when the nuclei of certain atoms, notably uranium-235 and plutonium-239, are induced to split or ‘fission’. The complete fission of a kilogram of uranium-235 should produce, in principle, as much energy as the combustion of over 3000 tonnes of coal. In practice, the fission is incomplete and there are other losses, but nevertheless nuclear fuels are more highly-concentrated sources of energy than fossil fuels. The heat generated by nuclear fission in a nuclear power station is used to raise high-pressure steam which then drives steam turbines coupled to electrical generators, as in a conventional power station.
Figure 1.19 Queen Elizabeth II opening Calder Hall nuclear power station in Cumbria, 1956 The development of ‘peaceful’ nuclear electricity generation after its use for military purposes in World War 2 was initially heralded as ushering-in a new era of virtually-limitless, clean power that some predicted would be ‘too cheap to meter’. In practice, however, nuclear electricity has proved to be more expensive than that from fossil fuels. Since the UK opened the world’s first grid-connected nuclear power station at Calder Hall in Cumbria in 1956, nuclear electricity generation has expanded to a point where it now accounts for nearly 7% of world primary energy, and for over 17% of the world’s electricity. In some countries, it is the principal source of electricity generation. France, for example, derives three-quarters of its electricity from nuclear power.
Figure 1.20 The Civaux Pressurized Water (PWR) nuclear Reactor near Poitiers, Vienne, France. In 2000, France produced 77% of its electricity from nuclear power A major advantage of nuclear energy is that the operation
of nuclear power plants results in no emissions of CO There seems little danger of the world ‘running out’ of nuclear fuel in the near future. Uranium reserves have been identified in many countries and are sufficient for many decades of use at current rates, and there are probably enough additional deposits to extend this to several centuries. Furthermore, advanced nuclear technologies such as the ‘fast breeder reactor’ (FBR) could enable uranium deposits to be used even more effectively, thus extending the lifetime of reserves. In an FBR, the plentiful but non-fissile isotope uranium-238 is transformed into fissile plutonium-239, which can then be used as reactor fuel. But the development of FBRs has been inhibited by substantial technical and safety problems, and by the low price of uranium which currently makes the technology un-competitive economically. Although the majority of nuclear reactors in most countries have operated without serious safely problems, a number of major accidents, like those at Windscale in the UK in 1957, Three Mile Island in the USA in 1979 and Chernobyl in the Ukraine in 1986, have created widespread public unease about nuclear technology in general – despite the opinion of nuclear-industry experts who argue that such anxieties are irrational.
Figure 1.21 The Chernobyl nuclear power plant following the accident in 1986 Less spectacular are the continued releases of harmful radioactive by-products, in small but insidious and cumulative quantities, to the atmosphere and oceans during the routine operation of nuclear power plants and fuel manufacturing or reprocessing facilities. There is also the problem of how, ultimately, to dispose of nuclear waste products, some of which remain hazardous for many thousands of years; and the problem of proliferation of nuclear materials such as plutonium-239 and uranium-235, which could fall into the hands of ‘rogue states’ or ‘terrorists’ capable of creating crude but devastating atomic weapons from them. Nuclear power stations and reprocessing facilities may themselves be vulnerable to terrorist attacks, which could result in the release of very large quantities of radioactive substances into the environment. Despite these difficulties, the nuclear industry is attempting to develop more advanced types of nuclear reactor which, it claims, will be cheaper to build and operate, and inherently safer, than existing designs. These are being promoted as an improved technological option for generating the carbon-free electricity that will be required later in the twenty-first century if global climate change is to be mitigated. Another potentially important nuclear technology is that of nuclear fusion. As its name implies, this involves the fusing together of atomic nuclei, in this case those of deuterium (so-called ‘heavy’ hydrogen). This process, similar to that underlying the generation of energy within the sun, also results in the release of very large amounts of energy. However, in order to create fusion on earth it is necessary to create conditions in which the nuclei of special forms (called isotopes) of hydrogen interact in an extremely confined space at extremely high temperatures, and so far scientists have only been able to make this happen for a few seconds. Moreover, the energy required to power the process currently greatly exceeds the energy generated. Research into fusion power continues, with substantial funding, but most experts consider that the technology, even if eventually it can be demonstrated successfully, is very unlikely to become commercially available for many decades.
Figure 1.22 The Joint European Torus (JET) experimental nuclear fusion reactor, located at Culham, Oxfordshire, UK BioenergyNot all fuel sources are, of course, of fossil or nuclear origin. From prehistoric times, human beings have harnessed the power of fire by burning wood to create warmth and light and to cook food. Wood is created by photosynthesis in the leaves of plants. Photosynthesis is a process powered by solar energy in which atmospheric carbon dioxide and water are converted into carbohydrates (compounds of carbon, oxygen and hydrogen) in the plant’s leaves and stems. These, in the form of wood or other ‘biomass’, can be used as fuels – called biofuels, which are sources of bioenergy. Wood is still very widely used as a fuel in many parts of the ‘developing’ world. In some countries, other biofuels such as animal dung (ultimately also derived from the growth of plants) are also used. As described in Box 1.1, such traditional biofuels are estimated to supply some 11% of world primary energy, though the data are somewhat uncertain. If the forests that provide wood fuel are re-planted at
the same rate as they are cut down, then such fuel use should in principle
be sustainable. When forests are managed sustainably in this way, the
CO A further problem is that in many ‘developing’ countries wood fuel is being used at a rate that exceeds its re-growth, which is not only unsustainable but also results in villagers having to travel ever-increasing distances, often involving great hardship, to gather sufficient firewood for their daily needs. Also, when it has been gathered, firewood is often burned very inefficiently in open fires – as was the case in Britain and many other ‘developed’ countries until quite recently. This not only results in excess greenhouse gas emissions, as we have seen, but also gives much less effective warmth that if an efficient stove were used. Moreover, it usually results in high levels of smoke pollution, with very detrimental health effects. Not all bioenergy use is in the form of traditional biofuels. As noted in Box 1.1, a significant contribution to world supplies now comes from so-called ‘modern’ bioenergy power plants. These feature the clean, high-efficiency combustion of straw, forestry wastes or wood chips from trees grown in special plantations. The heat produced is either used directly or for electricity generation, or sometimes for both purposes.
Figure 1.23 The ‘Arbre’ power station at Eggborough, Yorkshire, UK. Fuelled by wood chips, it has an electrical generating capacity of 10 MW Municipal wastes, a large proportion of which are biological in origin, are also widely used for heat or electricity production. However, there is considerable controversy over whether or not energy from waste should be regarded as ‘sustainable’. Waste-to-energy plants have been opposed by some environmental groups on the grounds that, in order to be economically viable, they need to be fed with a steady stream of waste over many years, which discourages better solutions to the waste problem, such as material re-use or recycling. There are further concerns over possible emissions of dioxins, which are carcinogenic, from the combustion of chlorine compounds present in municipal waste. Another modern source of bioenergy is alcohol (ethanol) produced by fermenting sugar cane or maize, which is quite widely used in vehicles in Brazil and some states of the USA. The alcohol is often blended with conventional petroleum to form a mixture known as ‘Gasohol’.
Figure 1.24 A substantial proportion of vehicles in Brazil are fuelled by alcohol derived from sugar cane HydroelectricityAnother energy source that has been harnessed by humanity for many centuries is the power of flowing water, which has been used for milling corn, pumping and driving machinery. During the twentieth century, its main use has been in the generation of hydro-electricity, and hydropower has grown to become one of the world’s principal electricity sources. It currently provides some 2.3% of world primary energy. However, the relative contribution of hydroelectric power (and of other electricity-producing renewables) is under-stated by a factor of about three in most national and international compilations of energy statistics. This is due to a convention whereby the heat produced by thermal power stations (both fossil and nuclear-fuelled) is included as part of their primary energy contribution, even though that heat is normally wasted. (A more detailed explanation of such conventions is given in Chapter 2.) The annual electricity outputs of the world’s hydro and nuclear power plants are actually about the same, but due to this statistical convention the primary energy contribution of nuclear is calculated to be about 7% whereas that of hydro is only about one-third of this. Hydro power in 2000 contributed over 17% of world electricity.
Figure 1.25 The large hydro-electric power plant at Glen Canyon Dam, Lake Powell, Arizona, which has an electrical generating capacity of 1300 MW. Lake Powell was formed with the construction of the Glen Canyon Dam in 1963, on the Colorado River in Page, Arizona. It is the second largest man-made lake in the United States and is 187 miles long The original source of hydroelectric power is solar energy, which warms the world’s oceans, causing water to evaporate from them. In the atmosphere, this forms clouds of moisture which eventually falls back to earth in the form of rain (or snow). The rain flows down through mountains into streams and rivers, where its flow can be harnessed using water wheels or turbines to generate power. When harnessed on a small scale, hydropower creates few, if any, adverse environmental impacts. However, many modern hydro installations have been built
on a very large scale, involving the creation of massive dams and the
flooding of extremely large areas. This often entails the re-location
of many thousands of indigenous residents who are usually, to say the
least, reluctant to move from their homes. Other impacts include adverse
effects on fish and other wildlife, reductions in water-borne nutrients
used in agriculture downstream, increases in water-borne diseases –
and not least, the rare but catastrophic effects of dam failures. A further
problem with large dams is that in certain circumstances trees and other
vegetation trapped below water when a reservoir is flooded can decay ‘anaerobically’
(i.e. in the absence of oxygen). This produces methane which, as we have
seen, is a more powerful greenhouse gas than the CO However, the current consensus is that greenhouse gas emissions from hydropower generation are likely to be at least an order of magnitude lower than those from fossil fuel generated electricity (United Nations, 2000). SummaryThis section has described how fossil fuels provide the majority of the world’s energy requirements, with bioenergy, nuclear energy and hydropower also making major contributions. The other ‘renewable’ energy sources currently supply only a small fraction of world demand, although the contribution of these ‘renewables’ seems likely to grow rapidly in coming decades, as we shall see in the following section. |
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