{"id":24798,"date":"2024-03-05T11:24:27","date_gmt":"2024-03-05T11:24:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ounews.co\/?p=24798"},"modified":"2024-03-05T11:24:27","modified_gmt":"2024-03-05T11:24:27","slug":"councils-in-crisis-budget-bailout-needed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.open.ac.uk\/blogs\/news\/arts-social-sciences\/councils-in-crisis-budget-bailout-needed\/","title":{"rendered":"Hundreds of councils could sink if the budget does not address their funding distress"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>With the budget looming on Wednesday Alan Shipman, senior lecturer in economics at The Open University, says if councils don\u2019t get the help they need life will get a lot harder where <\/em>YOU <em>live.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Jeremy Hunt\u2019s Budget options have been narrowed by the growing financial crisis in Britain\u2019s Town Halls as hundreds more councils are expected to raise the alarm.<\/p>\n<p>If the Chancellor\u2019s 2024\/25 spending plans don\u2019t include a large contingency plan for Town Hall distress calls, the outlook for residents in their areas looks grim.<\/p>\n<p>They can expect to see a squeeze on council-provided nurseries, care homes, waste collection, community health, sports halls, parks, bus services and road repairs will get a lot worse nation-wide in the coming year.<\/p>\n<p>So far, there are a handful of local authority \u2018bankruptcies\u2019 from 2023 that could be blamed on one-off miscalculations \u2013 equal-opportunity backpay, failed IT and unwise property investments.<\/p>\n<h2>More council deficits on the horizon<\/h2>\n<p>But more are likely to slide into deficits that halt further spending (under the <a href=\"https:\/\/commonslibrary.parliament.uk\/what-happens-if-a-council-goes-bankrupt\/#:~:text=A%20section%20114%20notice%20means,budget%20reducing%20spending%20on%20services.\">\u2018Section 114\u2019 procedure<\/a>), and others will run out of stopgap funds raised by earlier asset sales.<\/p>\n<p>The Commons levelling-up committee has identified a <a href=\"https:\/\/committees.parliament.uk\/work\/7943\/financial-distress-in-local-authorities\/news\/199671\/government-must-tackle-4bn-council-funding-gap-or-risk-severe-impact-to-services-and-council-finances-say-mps\/\">\u00a34bn shortfall <\/a>in local government finance for 2024-25, much of which the Treasury may have to fill after the election.<\/p>\n<p>There have long been calls to give councils the power to raise more of their own funds, but these are countered by demands for more central funding, to avoid growing inequality between regions based on the size of their tax base.<\/p>\n<p>Even when cash-strapped authorities are bailed out, like Northamptonshire County Council in 2018, councils with financial deficits will be forced into budget choices that make the Chancellor\u2019s look easy.<\/p>\n<h2>Services being slashed<\/h2>\n<p>Birmingham City Council\u2019s \u00a3300 million budget deficit has forced it to announce a 21% council-tax rise across the next two years and all-round spending cuts, including the withdrawal of all arts funding.<\/p>\n<p>And at Nottingham City Council, which is tackling a \u00a350m gap, the axe will fall on care homes and community facilities, with new charges for surviving services.<\/p>\n<p>After years of trimming waste, closing non-essential facilities and sharing essential ones, the next economy drive for local councils nationwide will hit services many households already struggle to afford and can\u2019t do without.<\/p>\n<p>The nearly 10% of councils that <em>could<\/em> declare insolvency in the next 12 months have <em>not<\/em> made any obvious financial errors, according to the latest <a href=\"https:\/\/lgiu.org\/publication\/the-state-of-local-government-finance-in-england-2024\/\">Local Government Information Unit poll<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2>Squeezed by more budget pressures<\/h2>\n<p>They\u2019ve been squeezed by steadily increasing financial demands \u2013 especially for young and old-age care, transport subsidies, social housing and environmental improvement \u2013 and a real-terms reduction in funding from central government, which quickened when inflation took off in 2022.<\/p>\n<p>Total <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk\/explainer\/local-government-funding-england\">local authority income<\/a> fell by 17.5% between 2009\/10 and 2019\/20, according to the Institute for Government research. It was still 10.2% lower in 2021\/22 than 2009\/10, despite higher central funding during the pandemic.<\/p>\n<p>While successive Chancellors claimed credit for reining in the UK budget deficits that ballooned after the international crises in 2008 and 2020, they passed on many of the toughest choices to local government treasurers.<\/p>\n<p>Local government fund-raising powers are unusually small in the UK. In England, council tax funds around half their budgets, and business rates collect 25-30%. So more than 20% must come from the Westminster government.<\/p>\n<p>Funding for Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland is linked to that for England via a \u2018<a href=\"https:\/\/commonslibrary.parliament.uk\/research-briefings\/cbp-7386\/\">Barnett Formula\u2019<\/a> dating from the 1970s.<\/p>\n<p>Since councils in the nations can\u2019t borrow the way the Treasury does, any deficit can quickly push them into tax increases and spending cuts that sap the local economy and make their job even harder.<\/p>\n<p>Where financial pressures forced councils into short-term borrowing, the sharp rise in interest rates since 2022 has dealt a further financial blow.<\/p>\n<p>So while the Chancellor will claim credit for making difficult choices on Wednesday, they won\u2019t be nearly as hard as the tax and spending decisions that continue to confront local authorities in the weeks leading up to this Budget.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With the budget looming on Wednesday Alan Shipman, senior lecturer in economics at The Open University, says if councils don\u2019t get the help they need life will get a lot harder where YOU live. Jeremy Hunt\u2019s Budget options have been narrowed by the growing financial crisis in Britain\u2019s Town Halls as hundreds more councils are [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":21672,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,15],"tags":[860,869,1525,1640],"class_list":["post-24798","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-arts-social-sciences","category-society-politics","tag-faculty-of-fass","tag-fass","tag-news-home","tag-ou-home"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.open.ac.uk\/blogs\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24798","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.open.ac.uk\/blogs\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.open.ac.uk\/blogs\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.open.ac.uk\/blogs\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/18"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.open.ac.uk\/blogs\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24798"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.open.ac.uk\/blogs\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24798\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.open.ac.uk\/blogs\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21672"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.open.ac.uk\/blogs\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24798"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.open.ac.uk\/blogs\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24798"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.open.ac.uk\/blogs\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24798"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}