News from The Open University
Posted on • Society and politics
Ahead of this year’s Autumn Budget, we asked OU lecturer in personal finance, Jonquil Lowe, about one of the key issues expected to come up – what the anticipated reduction in the VAT threshold will mean, if you have a small business or are self-employed.
Jonquil Lowe, senior lecturer in economics and personal finance at The Open University
“Small businesses come in many shapes and sizes. Matthew Taylor in his Good Work report describes how the majority of self-employed people are one-person bands with no desire to employ anyone. Official statistics show that self-employment has been growing rapidly, especially part-time (up 88 per cent since 2001) and among women and the elderly. This suggests that self-employment is often a life choice, with its flexibility fitting around caring responsibilities, or a top up to other sources of income, such as pensions.
“This onslaught on tiny businesses looks likely to continue in Wednesday’s Budget, when the Chancellor is expected to follow an Office of Tax Simplification (OTS) recommendation to reduce the VAT threshold, currently £85,000, possibly as low as £25,000. This must look tempting since it could bring up to £2 billion into the government coffers, sucking 1.5 million business minnows into the VAT system. Depending on whether traders can pass the tax on to customers and who their customers are, this extra tax will be paid partly by firms and partly by households through higher charges for their plumbers, builders, taxis and hairdressers.
“Quite apart from paying the tax, HMRC has estimated the cost per business of dealing with the VAT admin is £675 a year. Moreover, if there is no change to the exemption level for Making Tax Digital, currently set at the VAT threshold, from April 2019 those small businesses will also suddenly find themselves sucked into mandatory quarterly digital accounting.
By extending the VAT base, cutting the threshold narrowly skates around the Conservative Manifesto promise not to raise the level of VAT. And, no doubt, it will be dressed up as a tax avoidance measure aimed at traders operating in the informal economy. But make no mistake: this will be a stealthy and substantial tax rise.”
Jonquil Lowe is Senior Lecturer in Economics and Personal Finance at The Open University