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Shot of the cover of the Club of Rome report 'The limits to growth'. Shots of Forrester and the outside of his M.I.T. laboratory (M.I.T. Urban Systems Laboratory). Shot of Forrester. He explains th...at a limit must be placed on technological growth in order to avert environmental disaster. He examines the possibility of producing models of the world social system in order that the problem can be better understood and studied. Shot of A. Peccei chairing a meeting organised by the Club of Rome. Commentary gives the background and purpose of the club. Peccei continues the discussion on the purpose of the Club. Shot of Alexander King, Director General of Scientific Affairs at OECD, entering the OECD Headquarters in Paris. Shots of OECD, Paris both inside and out. Commentary gives the background to OECD and A. King. King and Peccei (co. founders of the Club of Rome) discuss the world environmental problems and how these may be tackled. J. Forrester discusses cause and effect phenomena in complex systems. Shot of the flow diagram which models the world system as worked out by Forrester. The model shows the interaction of the following 5 critical world indicators in the world system: 1. Population level.; 2. Pollution level.; 3. Natural resources.; 4. Capital investment. & 5. Food production. The relationship of birth rate to death rate and their effect on population size, as seen in the model, is examined. Effect of various indicators above on the death rate examined. Shots of the 1952 London smog - Ambulance shown with the driver wearing a smog mask. Shots of a person crippled by metal poisoning from industrial wastes in Japan. Shots of wastes being tipped into the irrigation systems of rice fields. Shots of graph showing the possible effect of pollution on the death rate based on a pollution ratio of 1970 level. Shot of the world system flow diagram. Commentary examines the interrelationship of all the elements in the diagram. Forrester discusses the problem of modelling such complex systems as the world social system. Can an adequate model be divised he asks? He tells why he decided to go ahead with a computer model. Shots of animated graph showing computer predictions for the world system caused by the interaction of the above 5 world system indicators. The effect of changes in the system indicators is examined. Time span for graph is 1800 - 2100. Forrester discusses the probability of a new frontier study in the examination of the dynamics of social systems. Shots of a computer animated graph which used more sophisticated imput than Forrester's model. It shows various changes in the 5 world system indicators due to their effect in one another. King and Peccei discuss the changes in thinking needed to bring about desirable environmental changes.
Shot of the cover of the Club of Rome report 'The limits to growth'. Shots of Forrester and the outside of his M.I.T. laboratory (M.I.T. Urban Systems Laboratory). Shot of Forrester. He explains th...at a limit must be placed on technological growth in order to avert environmental disaster. He examines the possibility of producing models of the world social system in order that the problem can be better understood and studied. Shot of A. Peccei chairing a meeting organised by the Club of Rome. Commentary gives the background and purpose of the club. Peccei continues the discussion on the purpose of the Club. Shot of Alexander King, Director General of Scientific Affairs at OECD, entering the OECD Headquarters in Paris. Shots of OECD, Paris both inside and out. Commentary gives the background to OECD and A. King. King and Peccei (co. founders of the Club of Rome) discuss the world environmental problems and how these may be tackled. J. Forrester discusses cause and effect phenomena in complex systems. Shot of the flow diagram which models the world system as worked out by Forrester. The model shows the interaction of the following 5 critical world indicators in the world system: 1. Population level.; 2. Pollution level.; 3. Natural resources.; 4. Capital investment. & 5. Food production. The relationship of birth rate to death rate and their effect on population size, as seen in the model, is examined. Effect of various indicators above on the death rate examined. Shots of the 1952 London smog - Ambulance shown with the driver wearing a smog mask. Shots of a person crippled by metal poisoning from industrial wastes in Japan. Shots of wastes being tipped into the irrigation systems of rice fields. Shots of graph showing the possible effect of pollution on the death rate based on a pollution ratio of 1970 level. Shot of the world system flow diagram. Commentary examines the interrelationship of all the elements in the diagram. Forrester discusses the problem of modelling such complex systems as the world social system. Can an adequate model be divised he asks? He tells why he decided to go ahead with a computer model. Shots of animated graph showing computer predictions for the world system caused by the interaction of the above 5 world system indicators. The effect of changes in the system indicators is examined. Time span for graph is 1800 - 2100. Forrester discusses the probability of a new frontier study in the examination of the dynamics of social systems. Shots of a computer animated graph which used more sophisticated imput than Forrester's model. It shows various changes in the 5 world system indicators due to their effect in one another. King and Peccei discuss the changes in thinking needed to bring about desirable environmental changes.
| Module code and title: | T100, The man-made world: a foundation course |
|---|---|
| Item code: | T100; 23 |
| First transmission date: | 25-06-1972 |
| Published: | 1972 |
| Rights Statement: | |
| Restrictions on use: | |
| Duration: | 00:24:00 |
| + Show more... | |
| Producer: | Vivienne King |
| Contributors: | and Jay Forrester; Michael Hussey |
| Publisher: | BBC Open University |
| Keyword(s): | Animated film; Club of Rome; Computer models; Environmental crisis; Limits to Growth; M.I.T.; World system |
| Master spool number: | 6HT/70633 |
| Production number: | 00521_2519 |
| Videofinder number: | 2166 |
| Available to public: | no |
